2.3.3
Case study

Internet Connectivity and Lifelong Learning — PPP, Living-Standard Indicators, Intervention and Continuing Education

Answers

(a)(i) Inference from the USD–PPP$ difference [2] — explain

For Singapore the PPP$ price (25.02) exceeds the USD price (21.64), whereas for the USA they are equal. This implies the Singapore dollar is undervalued relative to the US dollar in purchasing-power-parity terms — the underlying reason being that the cost of living in Singapore is lower than in the USA.

(a)(ii) GNI per capita vs GDP per capita as an affordability indicator [2] — explain

GNI = GDP + net factor income from abroad: GNI counts income earned by residents from output produced anywhere, while GDP counts only income from resources located within the country. For affordability, GNI per capita captures the incomes of residents working or investing abroad and remitting home, which in a globalised world may better represent residents’ actual ability to pay than GDP per capita.

(b) How the internet affects standard of living [4] — explain

Material living standards rise. The internet spurs online retail, advertising and ICT investment, boosting C and I and hence GDP — every 10-percentage-point rise in broadband penetration adds 1.3% to GDP — raising real GDP per capita and so the quantity of goods and services available for consumption (material living standards).

Non-material living standards rise. The internet provides leisure (social networking) and high-quality online education that improves skills and literacy, enabling the average resident to enjoy a better quality of life.

(c) Two economic reasons for intervention in internet access [4] — explain

Efficiency (correcting imperfect information). Some do not use the internet because they “do not see the need and lack knowledge of how to use it” — imperfect information means perceived private benefit falls short of true private benefit, causing under-consumption. The Silver Infocomm courses for seniors raise awareness and IT literacy, correcting the information gap.

Equity. Internet access is treated as an essential good to which all should have fair access. Free public Wi-Fi and programmes for vulnerable groups, plus the affordability target, aim to ensure equitable access and narrow the income-related digital divide.

(d) Factors in the rational decision to change subsidies [8] — discuss

The change removes subsidies for foreigners and reduces them for PRs on vocation-based postgraduate programmes, channelling the S$25 million saved into industry-relevant modular courses. The government’s rational decision weighs:

Constraints. A limited budget and the need for long-term fiscal sustainability mean the S$25 million can fund either the existing subsidies or the modular courses — not both — so the opportunity cost of each option is the other.

Relative benefits. The government judges the marginal external benefit of industry-relevant modular courses (jobs, productivity, GDP growth) higher than that of “purely academic” course-based programmes, justifying the reallocation; foreigners’ lower expected post-graduation contribution (they are at most bonded for a few years) further supports shifting subsidy toward residents.

Costs / unintended consequences. Cutting subsidies for vocation-based postgraduate programmes could lower take-up and graduate numbers, reducing the incentive to improve teaching quality and risking Singapore’s global university ranking. There is also a risk of government failure: mis-identifying which growth skills to back, or mis-estimating the external benefit and hence the right subsidy.

Judgement. The government proceeds because, on a cost-benefit weighing, the net benefit is positive: it prioritises the macro objectives of employment, productivity and growth, and the costs are contained — unsubsidised postgraduate courses have inelastic demand (students “will continue to take up courses … if they see value”), so reduced subsidies barely cut intake, and adequate information on emerging growth areas lowers the risk of government failure. The decision is rational because expected benefits exceed expected costs once these mitigating factors are accounted for.

(e) Continuing education vs compulsory schooling for factor immobility and asymmetric information [10] — discuss

Both factor (occupational) immobility and asymmetric information are labour-market inefficiencies. The thesis is that a “lifetime of continuing education” is more effective against both than ten years of compulsory schooling, though with qualifications.

Reducing occupational immobility. Occupational immobility is the difficulty of switching jobs for lack of requisite skills. Continuing education and training (CET) directly reskills and upskills workers to move into growing sectors. It is more effective than compulsory schooling because it is delivered in short modules (overcoming older workers’ resistance), is tailored to current industry needs, carries a lower opportunity cost (workers earn while they learn, unlike full-time schooling that forgoes income), and is heavily subsidised. By contrast, ten years of compulsory schooling provides only a general, “purely academic” foundation whose knowledge becomes obsolete in a rapidly changing economy.

Reducing asymmetric information. In the labour market, employers cannot observe a candidate’s true skills, so candidates exaggerate and employers risk mis-hiring. CET issues certified micro-credentials — a credible signal of relevant, current competency from trusted institutions — which closes the information gap better than a general O-level certificate, lowering the probability of mis-hiring.

However. Continuing education can degenerate into a credential “arms race” that sends noisy signals and wastes resources; it carries an opportunity cost and trade-off (the forgone foreign-talent contribution from cutting their subsidies, though minimal in practice); and, being voluntary, it is vulnerable to under-consumption where workers are ignorant of its benefits (perceived < actual private benefit), unlike compulsory schooling — though heavy publicity and subsidies make this a minor risk in Singapore. There is also residual government-failure risk in picking the right skills to back.

Judgement. On balance, a lifetime of continuing education is more effective than ten years of compulsory schooling at reducing both immobility and asymmetric information. As Singapore’s economy continually restructures, the workforce must keep adjusting to changing manpower needs — which industry-relevant retraining and credentialing achieve, but general schooling cannot. With labour as Singapore’s only natural resource, investing more heavily in continuing education is the better route to a mobile, well-signalled, productive workforce — provided the credential arms-race and information-failure risks are managed.